West Ham United 25/26 relegation thread
Posted: 16 Aug 2025, 17:07
Odds slashed from 5/1 to 7/2.
Watch this space.
I think we're fucked.
West Ham Online
The West Ham Fan Forum | More like the terraces than the family stand!
http://52.56.107.89/
West Ham United 25/26 relegation thread
Page 20 of 79
Odds slashed from 5/1 to 7/2.
Watch this space.
I think we're fucked.
Re: West Ham United 25/26 relegation thread
Posted: 25 Feb 2026, 09:32
Re: West Ham United 25/26 relegation thread
Posted: 25 Feb 2026, 09:31
Fingers crossed that does get moved.
Imagine the atmosphere at 8pm Sat night rather than at 12:30.
Imagine the atmosphere at 8pm Sat night rather than at 12:30.
Re: West Ham United 25/26 relegation thread
Posted: 25 Feb 2026, 09:30
Not for me 
Re: West Ham United 25/26 relegation thread
Posted: 25 Feb 2026, 09:17
Re: West Ham United 25/26 relegation thread
Posted: 25 Feb 2026, 09:00
Was reading the early Saturday KO against Man City on 14/3 could be moved dependent on if City play away in Europe on the prior Tue or Wed. Will know soon.
Re: West Ham United 25/26 relegation thread
Posted: 24 Feb 2026, 12:46
Westside wrote: ↑24 Feb 2026, 12:14dealcanvey wrote: ↑24 Feb 2026, 09:35 Opta had us at around 70% likely to be relegated. Forest was 23% and Spurs 4% rest of the possibilities less than 1%.
changing by the week though after Christmas our probability was above 80!I wonder what the odds were on Spurs to go down, a mere 7 games ago, when they were 13 points ahead of us (i.e the drop zone)?
Pretty good odds I imagine. Google tells me 100/1 at the start of the year but not sure if that's true. Lot shorter now.
Re: West Ham United 25/26 relegation thread
Posted: 24 Feb 2026, 12:14
dealcanvey wrote: ↑24 Feb 2026, 09:35 Opta had us at around 70% likely to be relegated. Forest was 23% and Spurs 4% rest of the possibilities less than 1%.
changing by the week though after Christmas our probability was above 80!
I wonder what the odds were on Spurs to go down, a mere 7 games ago, when they were 13 points ahead of us (i.e the drop zone)?
Re: West Ham United 25/26 relegation thread
Posted: 24 Feb 2026, 11:39
“Meet the new Boss. Same as the old Boss.”
Sorry folks. Don’t get your hopes up.
PRIMED FOF THE DROP.!
COYI
Sorry folks. Don’t get your hopes up.
PRIMED FOF THE DROP.!
COYI
Re: West Ham United 25/26 relegation thread
Posted: 24 Feb 2026, 10:53
New CEO bounce
Re: West Ham United 25/26 relegation thread
Posted: 24 Feb 2026, 10:35
To give us a real boost for survival to pick everyone up for the final stretch, her announcing her departure by the end of the season would be a huge fillip for us all. Let it be so.... 
Re: West Ham United 25/26 relegation thread
Posted: 24 Feb 2026, 10:30
This is worth discussing here. A what if scenario for you all to chew on.
There are rumours that Lady Brady is about to leave the club.e The possible reasons for her departure are:
1. Accounts published late due to the club being £100mill in the red.
2. Tara Warren’s taken up a role with the new independent football authority (or whatever they are/called) and we could be under investigation.
3. Revelations could come out in the very near future about an ”unnamed Premier League executive”.
As the team are building momentum, what would the impact be of any or all of the above in our bid for survival?
There are rumours that Lady Brady is about to leave the club.e The possible reasons for her departure are:
1. Accounts published late due to the club being £100mill in the red.
2. Tara Warren’s taken up a role with the new independent football authority (or whatever they are/called) and we could be under investigation.
3. Revelations could come out in the very near future about an ”unnamed Premier League executive”.
As the team are building momentum, what would the impact be of any or all of the above in our bid for survival?
Re: West Ham United 25/26 relegation thread
Posted: 24 Feb 2026, 10:25
Mad Ferret" wrote: ↑24 Feb 2026, 10:12 Sp*rs have a full team currently out injured. Once those players are back, they comfortably pick up enough points, sadly!
They only get 2 back from injury by mid March and by that time they will have already played Fulham, Palace and Liverpool before they then face Forest with 8 only games to go. Couple that also with the fact they'll still have their Captain out for the next important game. Players returning, especially those being out long term typically need a bit of time to get up and running, let alone at full tilt at their very best again. Time is running out for them.
https://www.standard.co.uk/sport/footba ... 71922.html
Re: West Ham United 25/26 relegation thread
Posted: 24 Feb 2026, 10:12
Sp*rs have a full team currently out injured. Once those players are back, they comfortably pick up enough points, sadly!
Re: West Ham United 25/26 relegation thread
Posted: 24 Feb 2026, 10:10
The "Because it's X Club" has to be the weakest argument for anyone staying up. I heard Darren Bent and another pundit say that because it's Spurs they can't see them going down. Sorry, doesn't work like that in reality. If you perform poorly enough then the name and stature of a Club alone won't prevent you from going down. As Villa, Newcastle as well as us will testify. I hope that is Spurs mentality going in to the relegation run-in though...
Re: West Ham United 25/26 relegation thread
Posted: 24 Feb 2026, 09:59
They were talking about the run in on the 6pm thing on sky last night They worked out the average league position of the opponents. Ours is 8th, I think forest was 9th/10th, Spurs 11th. So we are certainly favourites to go down with the hardest games. The player pundit however, still thought we'd stay up. Because it's us, and we can pull a shock when needed.
I fancy us to get something Saturday.
I fancy us to get something Saturday.
Re: West Ham United 25/26 relegation thread
Posted: 24 Feb 2026, 09:40
dealcanvey wrote: ↑24 Feb 2026, 09:35 Opta had us at around 70% likely to be relegated. Forest was 23% and Spurs 4% rest of the possibilities less than 1%.
changing by the week though after Christmas our probability was above 80!
Righto, computer says no. The cunts are only 4 points ahead of us with 33 remaining.
Re: West Ham United 25/26 relegation thread
Posted: 24 Feb 2026, 09:35
Opta had us at around 70% likely to be relegated. Forest was 23% and Spurs 4% rest of the possibilities less than 1%.
changing by the week though after Christmas our probability was above 80!
changing by the week though after Christmas our probability was above 80!
Re: West Ham United 25/26 relegation thread
Posted: 24 Feb 2026, 09:11
How the final EPL table would look if based upon 2026 results only. Ave PPG in brackets.
12. Palace (1.33) 50
13. Brighton (1.13) 46
14. S'land (0.8) 45
15. Leeds (1.22) 44
16. West Ham (1.38) 40
17. Forest (1.13) 39
18. Spurs (0.44) 34
19. Burnley (0.88) 29
20. Wolves (0.77) 18
Interestingly we have the highest points per game for the bottom 9 teams since the turn of the year yet according to some we don't have the bollocks to reap as many points as our relegation rivals
12. Palace (1.33) 50
13. Brighton (1.13) 46
14. S'land (0.8) 45
15. Leeds (1.22) 44
16. West Ham (1.38) 40
17. Forest (1.13) 39
18. Spurs (0.44) 34
19. Burnley (0.88) 29
20. Wolves (0.77) 18
Interestingly we have the highest points per game for the bottom 9 teams since the turn of the year yet according to some we don't have the bollocks to reap as many points as our relegation rivals
Re: West Ham United 25/26 relegation thread
Posted: 24 Feb 2026, 03:54
Bookies have us just under evens so almost 50/50 Forest just under 3s, Spurs 6s
Re: West Ham United 25/26 relegation thread
Posted: 24 Feb 2026, 01:53
The Brighton's and the Palace's only need a couple of more wins, so let's keep it real. Leeds rarely lose football matches and Spurs are likely to turn a corner at some point, and as said have very winnable home games ahead.
It's between us and Forest for me, with us favourites to go down. We need a favour from the Seagulls at the weekend.
It's between us and Forest for me, with us favourites to go down. We need a favour from the Seagulls at the weekend.
Re: West Ham United 25/26 relegation thread
Posted: 23 Feb 2026, 17:35
Mad Ferret" wrote: ↑23 Feb 2026, 16:44Massive Attack" wrote: ↑23 Feb 2026, 16:35
Not a chance they come close to that. Maybe survive sure but not by that amount of points.Look at their fixtures mate. They have an easy run-in
Spurs 0 Fulham away 3 1 0 1.166666667 Palace home 3 3 1 2.666666667 Liverpool away 1 0 0 0.166666667 Notts Forest home 3 1 1 1.333333333 Sunderland away 1 1 0 0.833333333 Brighton home 3 3 0 2.5 Wolves away 3 3 1 2.666666667 Aston Villa away 1 0 0 0.166666667 Leeds home 3 3 0 2.5 Chelsea away 1 0 0 0.166666667 Everton home 3 3 1 2.666666667 25 18 4 16.83333333 17 29 46
Above is from my workings
Column 1 Optimistic Points Column 2 Likely Column 3 Pessimistic
Column 1 Optimistic Points Column 2 Likely Column 3 Pessimistic
Re: West Ham United 25/26 relegation thread
Posted: 23 Feb 2026, 17:04
Mex Martillo" wrote: ↑23 Feb 2026, 17:00 Fulham is a massive game for Spurs. Fulham at home and on form should beat them without too much trouble.
It's a good thing they can count on their Leaders in to the Team then like their Captain Romer..oh.
Re: West Ham United 25/26 relegation thread
Posted: 23 Feb 2026, 17:00
Fulham is a massive game for Spurs. Fulham at home and on form should beat them without too much trouble. They need this new manager to show he can get them motivated and with the intensity, work rate and skill need to turn things round. Difficult to say what will happen.
But I would not be surprised if Spurs lose, no new manager bounce and then it's not difficult to imagine them getting dragged deeper and deeper towards relegation. Have to say I would love to see that.
But I would not be surprised if Spurs lose, no new manager bounce and then it's not difficult to imagine them getting dragged deeper and deeper towards relegation. Have to say I would love to see that.
Re: West Ham United 25/26 relegation thread
Posted: 23 Feb 2026, 16:58
easthammer wrote: ↑23 Feb 2026, 16:03 I have today brought out the spreadsheet for a bit of PERT-based analysis. Used normally to predict the expected time for events in projects, I have adapted the method for assessing the likelihood of points being achieved ( rather than timings). I won't bore you with the workings, but in previous years, it has been reasonably accurate.
Anyway, this is what it suggests ( and you won't be surprised that it is going to be tight)
I have assumed both Burnley and Wolves are gone
West Ham and Forrest will finish on 41 points ( so goal difference will be crucial)
Spurs and Leeds will be safe on 46 and 45 points respectively
Brighton will struggle to 43 points but be okay
BUT Crystal Palace will only have 40 points.
Which means they will be down, although until I did this analysis, I was sure it was us.
Palace have the toughest run in, but it's fanciful to suggest they'll only get another 5 points. Had Wolves scored with their penalty yesterday and gone on to win it I might have found it more plausible
Re: West Ham United 25/26 relegation thread
Posted: 23 Feb 2026, 16:48
Mad Ferret" wrote: ↑23 Feb 2026, 16:44Massive Attack" wrote: ↑23 Feb 2026, 16:35
Not a chance they come close to that. Maybe survive sure but not by that amount of points.Look at their fixtures mate. They have an easy run-in
Getting around half the points left available to them, I'd be very surprised they reach 46, regardless of opposition.